Actually, this isn’t my list so I can’t in good conscience copy the entire thing here, but you can read it on the WSJ website right here: “Technology Predictions Are Mostly Bunk” by L. Gordon Crovitz and published in today’s opinion pages (at least online).
I suppose my favorite of the bunch is the Bill Gates’ from 1981: “No one will need more than 637 kb of memory for a personal computer—640K ought to be enough for anybody.”
However, the quote from Sir William Preece, chief engineer at the British Post Office back in 1878, gets points, too, for revealing both a bad technology prediction and a bit of cultural flavor: “The Americans have need of the telephone, but we do not. We have plenty of messenger boys.”
Click on over and read the rest of the list, as well as some praise for Arthur C. Clarke’s rather impressive forecasts.